Virus Outbreak: Pandemic likely to slow next month: academic

PREDICTION MODEL: The number of daily infections might fall below 2,500 by the end of next month, NTU College of Public Health vice dean Tony Chen said

Taipei Times
Date: May 05, 2020
By: Lee I-chia / Staff reporter

National Taiwan University College of Public Health vice dean Tony Chen, bottom left, introduces a graph depicting COVID-19 infection rates against venue and location type at a news conference in Taipei yesterday.
Photo courtesy of National Taiwan University College of Public Health

The spread of the COVID-19 pandemic will likely slow down by late next month, but disease prevention measures should be eased gradually, National Taiwan University (NTU) College of Public Health vice dean Tony Chen (陳秀熙) said yesterday.

In the college’s 13th weekly report on COVID-19, college dean Chan Chang-chuan (詹長權) said that in the past four months, many countries have implemented measures including lockdowns, stay-at-home orders and social distancing, adding that infection and mortality rates in some countries have gone down.

As the global pandemic continues, with more than 3.5 million confirmed infections, people have understood that social distancing works, but it also hurts the economy and social activities, so many countries and cities are trying to assess how to return to a relatively normal lifestyle, he said.

Chen said that his prediction model, based on the number of daily reported cases, suggests that there would be fewer than 2,500 daily new cases worldwide by the end of next month.    [FULL  STORY]

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